What is a common method for predicting storm surge events?

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The correct choice is based on the understanding that analyzing historical data is crucial for predicting storm surge events. This method involves examining past storm surge events, including their intensity, frequency, duration, and the associated conditions that led to the surges. By identifying patterns and trends from previous data, meteorologists can develop models that help forecast future storms and their potential impact on coastal areas.

Historical data analysis can reveal how certain factors, such as hurricane tracks, sea level rise, and tidal conditions, interact to create storm surges. This comprehensive approach allows for more accurate predictions compared to solely relying on isolated measurements, such as wind speeds or atmospheric soundings. While wind speed and atmospheric conditions are important components in understanding storms, they alone do not provide the comprehensive insight that historical analysis of storm surges does.

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